Israel's right-wing government expressed exuberance over Donald J. Trump's election victory, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu congratulating Trump on social media shortly after his speech. Netanyahu characterized this event as "history's greatest comeback," viewing it as a new beginning for U.S.-Israel relations.
Itamar Ben-Gvir, Israel's national security minister, also celebrated the victory on social platforms, signaling widespread approval among Jewish Israelis who prefer Trump for his perceived favorable stance towards Israel compared to Vice President Kamala Harris.
Netanyahu is expected to feel more empowered with Trump in office, especially as he continues to pursue a total victory in Israel's military engagements and contend with Iran. Recently, Netanyahu dismissed Defense Minister Yoav Gallant amid tensions regarding the ongoing conflict in Gaza and domestic political stability.
While Trump has called for an end to the conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon, analysts suggest that his administration would likely support terms more advantageous for Israel. This assumption is partly rooted in Trump's past actions, such as relocating the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem during his first term.
Despite this optimism, analysts caution that Trump's unpredictability raises concerns. Netanyahu's interactions with Trump have evolved, particularly after Trump criticized him for backing out of a military operation against a prominent Iranian figure.
It remains uncertain how Trump's administration will navigate foreign policy, especially considering the influence of his party's more extreme factions and the pro-Israel evangelical supporters. There are reservations regarding whether Trump would maintain substantial military aid to Israel, as he has previously indicated a desire for countries to "pay" for aid.
Trump's stated aim to end wars without a defined strategy for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict or Iran may provide Netanyahu a reprieve from pressure on these issues. Some analysts believe that a Trump administration could allow Netanyahu to proceed with controversial judicial reforms without external constraints.
The period leading up to Trump's inauguration on January 20 presents challenges for Netanyahu, including a looming deadline for humanitarian aid to Gaza set by the Biden administration. This situation may compel Biden to adopt a more assertive approach during his remaining time in office.
Trump's victory could also serve to strengthen Netanyahu's political standing within Israel, as many perceive Trump as an ally. This sentiment may provide Netanyahu with the necessary support to navigate the current political turmoil following Gallant's dismissal.