U.S. airstrikes in Syria and Iraq, in response to the killing of three U.S. soldiers in Jordan, have shifted the focus to Iran's decision on whether to escalate or de-escalate. Washington and its allies anticipate Iran choosing the latter, avoiding a direct conflict. However, it remains uncertain if Iran-backed proxy forces will also back off. Despite no direct communication with Iran, there have been signals from both sides. President Biden aims to restore deterrence in the region and navigate complex dynamics, despite initial plans to prioritize other global issues.